COVID-19 REPRODUCTION RATE: Relevance in the Mozambican Context
Keywords:
COVID-19, Mozambique, Reproduction rate, SARS-CoV-2Abstract
Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), caused by Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome CoronaVirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), has been swamping health-care systems and devastating societies and economies worldwide. Mathematical models havepredictedthe numbers of infections and deathsrelated to the outbreak of COVID-19 on the African continent. In this article we discuss the approach of the models published by the London School of Hygiene &Tropical Medicine (LSHTM) and Imperial College London in relation to the outcomes predicted for COVID-19 in Mozambique. We also analyse the reproduction rate of COVID-19 and its relevance in the context of Mozambique. The results predicted for Mozambique by the aforementioned models have not been observed; this may be related to several factors that affect the reproduction rate (Re), such aspeople’s behaviour and some of the socio-economic and cultural realities of the country. Therefore, tracking the Re through increasing the capacity for COVID-19 testing is crucial in order to assess the impacts of the possible relaxation of social distancing measures.
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